Global Journal of Research in Management

1. Golaka C. Nath – Senior Vice President, Ccil, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India.

Received
24-Jun-2014
Accepted
-
Published
24-Jun-2014
Abstract
Forward exchange rate bias explanation generally falls into two categories–assumption of rational expectation resulting in a risk premium and expectation errors which is systematic. The paper tests the bias in the Indian forward exchange markets using one-month and three month forward contracts. The study finds that the three month contracts have larger prediction errors than the one-month contracts. The paper also finds that the prediction errors have information content which leads to assume the presence of risk premium. The study also finds that one-month contracts have lesser variability in risks vis-a-vis the three month contracts.
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